Tehran Warns US Allies in the Middle East: Aid to Israel Will Bring Repercussions

By IndraStra Global News Team

Tehran Warns US Allies in the Middle East: Aid to Israel Will Bring Repercussions

According to the latest Wall Street Journal's news report, Iran has secretly warned Arab Gulf states and other U.S. allies in the Middle East that they will be targeted if their territories or airspace are used in any attacks on Iran, according to Arab officials. Israel has already threatened severe retaliation after Iran launched 180 ballistic missiles at Israel earlier this month. Some Israeli officials are calling for strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities or oil infrastructure. In response, Tehran has vowed to hit Israeli civilian infrastructure and retaliate against any Arab states that support such actions.

The threatened states, including Jordan, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, all host U.S. troops and have urged the Biden administration not to involve their territories in any offensive against Iran. These vague but alarming threats have instilled a deep sense of fear and uncertainty in the Persian Gulf region, where oil facilities and U.S. military bases could be at risk. The area, which houses a large concentration of American forces, is concerned that the longstanding U.S. security umbrella may not be enough to prevent Iranian retaliation.

The growing conflict in the Middle East is complicating the alliance between Arab states and Israel, which all oppose Iran's military activities. While the U.S. sees this alignment as the foundation for a potential Middle East NATO focused on countering Iran, Arab states, like Jordan, are hesitant to back direct Israeli strikes on Iran. Though they assisted in intercepting Iranian projectiles aimed at Israel in April, they are wary of deeper involvement.

Some Arab nations have informed the U.S. that they do not want Israeli warplanes flying over their territories or American troops launching offensive operations from their bases. These requests remain informal, but Arab countries have been adjusting their limits on U.S. operations since the Israel-Hamas war began. However, they have become more assertive as the conflict has escalated, particularly with Israeli actions against Iran and attacks in Lebanon.

President Biden and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed Israel's anticipated military retaliation against Iran in their first call since August 21. While U.S. officials do not yet know the timing or targets of the strike, Israel's security cabinet was expected to review options for responding to Iran's recent attack, according to an Israeli official.

Israel may have alternative routes for striking Iran, including over Syria, where its air force operates freely, and Iraq, where its stealth technology can outmatch air defenses. However, any restrictions on U.S. military movement in the region could complicate securing or resupplying assets like aircraft carriers in the Red Sea.

U.S. Central Command, overseeing military operations in the Middle East, referred inquiries about the situation to its allies, while neither Iran's Foreign Ministry nor the Israeli Prime Minister's office commented. Earlier this month, Iran's U.N. Mission warned that any country aiding an Israeli attack would be considered an accomplice and a legitimate target, though no specific details were provided.

While the U.S. supports Israel's right to self-defense, it is urging restraint to prevent the conflict from spreading, especially after the October 7 Hamas-led attack that killed 1,200 people and sparked the Gaza war. In April, when Iran first targeted Israel, Israeli and U.S. forces intercepted most of the drones and missiles, aided by Arab nations that shared intelligence, opened airspace, and even contributed their own forces.

With Iran warning of retaliation if Israel strikes, Arab leaders are concerned that the escalation could compel the U.S. to intervene in support of Israel, its key Middle Eastern ally. According to Yossi Mekelberg, a Middle East analyst at Chatham House, the risk of miscalculation in this volatile situation is high, potentially leading to unintended actions without a clear plan. This unpredictability adds to the already high tension in the region.

Arab intermediaries are actively working to de-escalate tensions by facilitating communication between Israel and Iran, a backchannel that has been operational since April when Iran fired 300 projectiles at Israel. This diplomatic effort has gained momentum following Israel's killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and its ground offensive in Lebanon, which prompted Iran to launch its latest ballistic missile at Israel.

The escalating exchanges between Israel and Iran underscore the potential risks for the U.S. if the conflict escalates further. In response, U.S. officials are bolstering their military presence in the region, deploying more warplanes, and maintaining the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier battle group stationed in the Middle East. At an emergency meeting last week, Persian Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, pledged not to allow their territories or airspace to be used for any strikes on Iran, in an effort to deter Tehran from retaliating.

Some Arab states are deeply concerned that the conflict could disrupt oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz, potentially driving up global oil prices. This economic impact adds another layer of concern to the already tense situation. Meanwhile, public rhetoric between Israel and Iran has intensified, with both sides now threatening nonmilitary infrastructure, marking a shift from their previous focus on military targets. The tone of private messages had also hardened compared to April, when backchannel communications were more de-escalators despite Iran's missile attacks. At that time, under U.S. pressure, Israel limited its retaliation to targeting Iranian air defense systems.

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IndraStra Global: Tehran Warns US Allies in the Middle East: Aid to Israel Will Bring Repercussions
Tehran Warns US Allies in the Middle East: Aid to Israel Will Bring Repercussions
By IndraStra Global News Team
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