Oil Prices Decline Amid Doubts Over China's Economic Expansion

Monday, June 19, 2023 Edit this post

By IndraStra Global News Team

Image by PublicDomainPictures from Pixabay
Cover Image Attribute: Image by PublicDomainPictures from Pixabay

On Monday, oil prices experienced a downturn as concerns about China's economic health overshadowed the impact of OPEC+ production cuts and a continuous decline in the number of operational oil and gas rigs in the United States. Brent crude decreased 48 cents, or 0.6%, settling at $76.13 per barrel. Similarly, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped by 49 cents, or 0.7%, to $71.29 at 1935 GMT. The trading volumes were relatively low due to a U.S. holiday.

Even though there was a dip in oil prices on Monday, both contracts wrapped up the prior week with a rise of more than 2%. A number of major banks have adjusted their growth forecasts for China's economy in 2023, marking them lower. Jorge Leon, the Senior Vice President at Rystad Energy, notes that the oil market is closely watching for any additional signs of a worldwide economic rebound.

Leon noted that a lot of hinges on China's economic performance in the latter half of this year, the effectiveness of its recently announced stimulus measures, and the capacity of the U.S. and Europe to stave off an economic slowdown amidst interest rate hikes.

China's refinery throughput climbed to its second-highest total in May, contributing to the previous week's gains. Concurrently, U.S. energy firms reduced the number of operational oil and natural gas rigs. However, the surge in Iranian oil exports put pressure on prices. Despite U.S. sanctions, Iran's crude exports and oil production have reached record highs in 2023, adding to the global supply when other producers are curbing output.

Daniel Ghali, a commodity strategist at TD Bank, stated that the sentiment in the crude oil market is somewhat bearish among traders. However, from a broader perspective, analysts are still predicting significant deficits in the coming months.

Despite China's growth rate being higher than many developed economies, including the U.S., it has been mostly slowing over the past decade, with the exception of an 8.1% rate in 2021 as it rebounded from the pandemic's impact. After recent reports of industrial output and retail sales falling short of expectations, experts predict that the Chinese government will likely implement a careful program of targeted economic stimulus in the near future.

However, some traditional methods of influence, such as lowering interest rates to encourage borrowing for capital investment, may be less effective due to the already high debt levels among Chinese companies. In recent months, Chinese officials have shown an openness to foreign investment to boost economic growth, despite some companies' wariness due to Beijing's aggressive crackdown on Chinese tech firms.

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IndraStra Global: Oil Prices Decline Amid Doubts Over China's Economic Expansion
Oil Prices Decline Amid Doubts Over China's Economic Expansion
By IndraStra Global News Team
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