Oil Ends Week Mixed on Geopolitical Uncertainty

By The Al Attiyah Foundation, Qatar


By The Al Attiyah Foundation, Qatar

Oil prices ended the week mixed on Friday as investors weighed a potential supply disruption resulting from the Russia-Ukraine crisis, against the prospect of increased Iranian oil exports. Brent crude futures settled 57 cents, or 0.6%, higher at $93.54 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude ended down 69 cents, or 0.5%, at $91.07 a barrel. U.S. markets will be closed on Monday for the Presidents Day holiday. Both benchmarks hit their highest levels since September 2014 on Monday, but growing prospects of easing oil sanctions against Iran have weighed on the market. Fears over possible supply disruptions resulting from the Russian military presence at Ukraine's borders limited losses this week. The West has threatened Russia, a top oil and gas supplier, with new sanctions if it attacks Ukraine. Russia denies that it is planning any attacks. The oil market rose slightly in after-hours trading after U.S. President Joe Biden said that he was convinced Russian President Vladimir Putin had made a decision to invade Ukraine in the coming days. Meanwhile, the U.S.-Iranian deal to revive Iran's 2015 nuclear agreement with world powers was close, but success depended on the political will of those involved.


Benchmark Oil Prices

Asian LNG Outlook Bullish on European Gas Concerns


Asian spot liquefied natural gas prices were stable for a second week running, but sentiment remained bullish on a colder weather outlook and uncertainty over European gas supply amid geopolitical tensions. The average LNG price was $24.40 per metric million British thermal units, down $0.30, or 1.2% from the previous week, industry sources said. European LNG imports remain robust at 6.9 billion cubic meters (bcm) so far in February, after a record high in January at over 10 bcm. However, brimming LNG terminals in the continent lack room for more gas in case of supply disruptions. With uncertainty over Russian gas exports to Europe, due to the risks of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and with gas prices trading 3-4 times higher than the long-term average, Europe will still be very keen on buying LNG during the summer and into next winter. In the United States, natural gas futures eased on Friday, ahead of the long U.S. Presidents Day weekend, on a continued slow recovery in output from cold weather-related reductions earlier in the month and forecasts for less heating demand next week than previously expected. For the week, gas futures price was up about $0.50 per million British thermal units or 12%.


Benchmark Gas Prices


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IndraStra Global: Oil Ends Week Mixed on Geopolitical Uncertainty
Oil Ends Week Mixed on Geopolitical Uncertainty
By The Al Attiyah Foundation, Qatar
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