Libya to Expand Oil Output to 2 Million Barrels per Day

After a three months decline, Libya's daily oil output climbed to 1.025 million bpd in July 2022.

Cover Image Attribute: The building housing the state-owned oil corporation, the National Oil Corporation (NOC), is seen in Tripoli, Libya February 22, 2016. / Source: Ismail Zitouny, Reuters

The majority of Libya's oil fields have recently begun production again, which has prompted the country's state-owned oil corporation, the National Oil Corporation (NOC), to announce an ambitious plan to expand oil production to 2 million barrels per day (bpd).

In a statement that the NOC released, the Chairman, Farhat bin Qadara, noted that "a medium-term plan will be outlined to achieve this goal, which will extend from three to five years and that will see the participation of several companies with their projects."

Chart Attribute: Libyan Monthly Crud Oil Production (Jan 2008-Jul 2022)

After a three months decline, Libya's daily oil output climbed to 1.025 million bpd in July 2022. At the beginning of this year, the country's daily production was 1.3 million bpd; however, in April, demonstrators from all over Libya began to blockade several vital ports and oil fields, which decreased output to approximately 0.5 million bpd by July. 

During the year 2021, Libya's daily crude oil production rate was close to 1.2 million bpd. However, at the end of December 2021, armed militants cut crude oil production by an estimated 0.4 million bpd. 

Since the beginning of Libya's first civil war in 2011, the armed conflict and political instability in the country have caused the country's crude oil production to fluctuate continuously. Following the elections in Libya in 2014, the country was left with a divided administration, with two major rival parties assuming control of distinct regions. The Government of National Accord (GNA), recognized internationally, administers the western area of Libya, while the Libyan National Army (LNA) governs the country's eastern region.

Between 2014 and 2020, the GNA, the LNA, and various local militias utilized oil exports as a form of political leverage and caused disruptions to Libya's oil output. In October 2020, the GNA and the LNA reached a ceasefire agreement, which freed up limitations on oil production and exports. As a result, the preliminary predictions for real GDP growth for 2021 increased by 70 percent. Revenues collected from the sale of crude oil are essential to Libya's economy. According to the Central Bank of Libya, oil income made up an anticipated 98% of Libya's total government revenues in 2021.  

According to Libya Economic Monitor (Spring 2021), a report from the World Bank, real GDP growth dropped by 31% in 2020 as a result of political conflicts between factions in the eastern and western regions; the oil export port blockades and pipeline shut-ins; and, to a lesser degree, the economic slowdown during the global COVID-19 pandemic. Nevertheless, at the end of the year 2021, Libya had the largest proved oil reserves in Africa, totaling 48 billion barrels and accounting for 39% of the total reserves on the African continent. Furthermore, according to Oil and Gas Journal, Libya was one of the countries that rated among the top 10 for their proved oil reserves.

Despite the country's vast oil reserves, capital investments in Libya's oil and natural gas industries have been limited due to the country's ongoing political unrest and attacks by militias on energy infrastructure. Since 2011, these difficulties have also hampered the country's efforts to explore and develop its reserve holdings. In addition, even though Libya is a member of OPEC, the agreement between OPEC and non-OPEC countries in April 2020 exempts Libya from the production cutbacks that are part of the deal.

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IndraStra Global: Libya to Expand Oil Output to 2 Million Barrels per Day
Libya to Expand Oil Output to 2 Million Barrels per Day
After a three months decline, Libya's daily oil output climbed to 1.025 million bpd in July 2022.
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