JCPoA Hanging by a Thread
IndraStra Global

JCPoA Hanging by a Thread

By IndraStra Global News Team

JCPoA Hanging by a Thread

On January 5, 2020, in the aftermath of Soleimani's assassination, Iran suspended its commitments under the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPoA). Iran will abandon the "final restrictions" on uranium enrichment and other activities unless U.S. sanctions are lifted.

Image Attribute: The signatures of the signatories of 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPoA)

Image Attribute: The signatures of the signatories of the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPoA).

The statement by the Iranian government regarding the abandoning of JCPoA reads:

"The Islamic Republic of Iran, in the fifth step in reducing its commitments, discards the last key component of its operational limitations in the JCPOA, which is the "limit on the number of centrifuges."

"As such, the Islamic Republic of Iran's nuclear program no longer faces any operational restrictions, including enrichment capacity, percentage of enrichment, amount of enriched material, and research and development. From here on, Iran's nuclear program will be developed solely based on its technical needs."

"Iran's cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will continue as before. If the sanctions are lifted and Iran benefits from its interests enshrined in the JCPOA, the Islamic Republic is ready to return to its commitments."

According to Kelsey Davenport, Director of Nonproliferation Policy at the Arms Control Association,  Iran's announcement increases the threat posed by the country's nuclear program.

But, according to Mark Fitzpatrick, an associate fellow at the Institute for Strategic Studies in London, "Iran did not say it would raise the enrichment level to 20 percent, they didn't announce anything regarding the plutonium path to a bomb, and they didn't say they are pulling out of the deal," he said. "Most importantly, Iran left in place the IAEA inspections."

However, it is not yet clear how many more centrifuges or what percentage of enrichment Iran will eventually pursue. So, it's completely a "wait and watch" situation. 

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